New Hope Corporation Limited Reports $155M EBITDA, Mixed Coal Production, and Revised FY25 Guidance Amid Rail Capacity Challenges

Monday, May 19, 2025
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New Hope Corporation Limited’s quarterly report highlights steady coal sales growth, improved safety metrics, a robust dividend payout, and a strategic share buyback program. Despite a dip in EBITDA from lower pricing, revised production guidance and operational efficiency underpin the company’s resilient outlook amid current market challenges.

New Hope Corporation Limited reported its quarterly activities for the period ending 30 April 2025, revealing a mixed performance across its operations. The overall group metrics showed a 10% increase in prime overburden movement to 16,268 thousand cubic meters and a moderate 1% rise in saleable coal production compared to the previous quarter. ROM coal production experienced a slight 5% decline, while coal sales grew by 3%, contributing to an underlying EBITDA of A$155.2 million—a figure down 27% due to lower realized pricing. Safety performance also improved during the quarter, with the twelve‐month moving average TRIFR declining from 4.08 to 3.65 and the AIFR dropping significantly, underscoring a continued focus on employee wellbeing. In the company’s New South Wales operations, the Bengalla Mine, held at an 80% interest, reported a robust 11% jump in prime overburden and a 4% increase in coal sales despite a 16% drop in ROM coal production as the mine transitioned into a higher strip ratio portion of its resource. The FOB cash cost at Bengalla improved slightly, decreasing by 1.7% to A$75.3 per sales tonne, aligning with the mine’s annual targets. Meanwhile, the Queensland operations at the New Acland Mine delivered a 13% increase in ROM coal production and a 7% lift in prime overburden movement, although saleable coal production dipped modestly due to inventory stockpile levels and rail capacity limitations. The revised FY25 guidance for New Acland reflects these challenges, with production numbers adjusted to accommodate current rail performance issues. The marketing and sales segment of the report highlighted a market environment under economic uncertainty, with the gC NEWC 6000 index price falling by 23.7% to US$97.5 per tonne. Despite spot market pressures, the company’s forward sales book remains well supported, providing a buffer against price discounts. The quarterly realized sales price averaged A$147.5 per tonne, reflecting the competitive dynamics of the thermal coal market even as domestic sales continued to influence overall volumes. Strategic investments also featured prominently in the release. New Hope Corporation Limited’s 22.97% equity stake in Malabar Resources Limited is benefiting from progress at the Maxwell Underground Mine, where production advances in both bord and pillar and longwall operations have led to first coal sales at a premium to market indices. On the exploration front, targeted drilling programs at the Bengalla Exploration License and the concept study for the West Muswellbrook tenement continue to underpin future growth, with drilling initiatives aimed at defining additional resource opportunities. The company’s robust capital management was evident with the declaration of a fully franked interim dividend of 19.0 cents per share, resulting in a payout totalling A$160.6 million. With an available cash balance of A$659.3 million—bolstered by a substantial fixed income portfolio—and the commencement of an on-market share buyback program, New Hope Corporation Limited is positioning itself to enhance shareholder value. The share repurchase, which began on 1 April 2025 and has already seen acquisitions at an average price of A$3.54, is expected to further align the share price with the underlying asset value. The outlook from this report carries both bullish and bearish elements. On the bullish side, the company’s sound production performance in key operations, improved safety metrics, strong cash liquidity, and proactive capital return measures such as the interim dividend and share buyback underscore a commitment to delivering value amid market challenges. In addition, strategic investments and exploration activities provide a pathway for long-term growth and potential resource expansion. Conversely, bearish factors include the notable decline in EBITDA tied to lower realized coal prices, operational challenges at New Acland Mine stemming from rail capacity constraints, and ongoing uncertainties in the broader thermal coal market. These risks may pressure margins and require careful management as the company strives to balance production targets with cost optimization.

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