CuFe Limited’s Orlando Open Pit Scoping Study Uncovers $355M NPV, 59% IRR & 1.9-Year Payback in Tennant Creek Copper/Gold Project

Tuesday, July 29, 2025
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8:21 am
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CuFe Limited’s new scoping study for its Orlando open pit project in Tennant Creek shows striking economic promise with strong NPV and IRR figures. This milestone boosts investor confidence and sets the stage for a detailed feasibility study aimed at unlocking extensive copper and gold potential.

CuFe Limited has released a detailed announcement outlining the strong preliminary economics of its Orlando open pit cutback project in the Tennant Creek region. The scoping study indicates robust project fundamentals with an estimated net present value (NPV) of approximately A$355 million on a 100% ownership basis, an internal rate of return (IRR) nearing 60%, and a payback period of only 1.9 years. When current spot prices are factored in, the NPV is projected to rise to roughly A$462 million. The study assumes an ore production of 3.5 million tonnes with average grades of 1.33% copper and 1.8 grams per tonne gold, representing about one third of the overall regional resource base. The company’s evaluation focused on a standalone development scenario which includes the construction of a new processing plant at an anticipated cost of approximately A$82 million, part of a total pre-production capital expenditure of A$136 million. However, CuFe is actively exploring options to reduce these upfront costs. These include partnering with its Tennant Creek alliance partners and investigating the possibility of acquiring a second-hand plant. The proposed plant is designed to produce a copper-gold concentrate to be exported either via Darwin or processed further at alternative sites. Historically, the project area has been mined using both open pit and underground methods, which supports the regulatory framework for restarting operations. In addition to the measured open pit resource, the study emphasizes significant potential upside from existing underground resources, ongoing drilling programs aimed at upgrading inferred resources to the indicated category, and potential integration of third-party tonnes from regional projects. Key technical parameters include a strip ratio of 12:1, an estimated mine life of five years, and projected metal production figures of approximately 39,449 tonnes of payable copper and 167,419 ounces of payable gold. Robust financial modelling underpins these encouraging figures, with detailed sensitivity analyses highlighting that changes in metal prices affect project NPV most significantly—where a 20% shift in commodity prices could adjust NPV by around A$166 million. The study, which maintains an accuracy of approximately ±50%, forms the basis for proceeding to a more detailed feasibility study. Concurrently, CuFe has noted growing interest from strategic investors and trading houses, underscoring the market’s recognition of the project’s potential amid a favorable funding environment. Investors might view the news from a bullish perspective given the strong economic indicators—a high IRR, short payback period, and significant NPV enhancement potential from current spot prices—all of which suggest a compelling project economics profile. The company’s proactive approach to cost reduction and resource expansion further reinforces positive sentiment. On the bearish side, some risks remain, including the reliance on inferred resource elements, the need to secure adequate funding under favorable terms, and the progression of environmental, heritage, and regulatory approvals. Additionally, the forward-looking nature of many assumptions means that actual outcomes might differ from projections. Overall, CuFe Limited’s announcement presents a project with considerable upside potential, balanced against typical exploration and development risks. For beginner traders, the key takeaway is that while the technical metrics and financial projections are highly attractive, careful consideration of the inherent uncertainties and funding challenges is essential before making any investment decisions.

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